Sebastian M. Saiegh

Contact Info:

Department of Political Science
University of California, San Diego
Social Sciences Building 370
9500 Gilman Drive
La Jolla, CA 92093


phone: (858) 534-7237
fax: (858) 534-7130

I am a Professor in the Department of Political Science at the University of California, San Diego. I earned my Ph.D. from New York University, and have previously taught at the University of Pittsburgh. My research interests cut across the fields of comparative politics, positive political theory and political economy. I have a regional focus on Latin America, and I am an expert on Argentine politics. My work addresses a number of different topics, including political risk and asset prices, statutory policy-making, legislative politics, sovereign borrowing, electoral forensics, civil war exposure, and sports analytics.

Curriculum Vitae



POLI 134D TOPICS IN LATIN AMERICAN POLITICS: Politics, Policies, and Economic Prosperity in Latin America











“Ruling by Statute.” New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010

“La Nueva Economia Politica.” Buenos Aires: Eudeba, 1998 (co-edited with Mariano Tommasi)

Political Economy:


Politics and Financial Markets

“The Value of Legal Recourse in Sovereign Bond Markets: Evidence from Argentina”,
with Glen Biglaiser, forthcoming in Journal of Empirical Legal Studies., 2024.
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“Fear and Loathing on Wall Street: Electoral Risk Hedging in the United States (1986-2020)”,
in Journal of Political Economy and Political Institutions, 2023.
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“Political Shocks and Asset Prices: Evidence from Argentina”,
with Daniel Carnahan, in Political Science Research and Methods. 2022.
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“Electoral Uncertainty and Financial Volatility: Evidence from Two-Round Presidential Races in Emerging Markets”,
with Daniel Carnahan, Economics & Politics, Vol. 33: 109-132, 2021.
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“Executive Constraint and Sovereign Debt: Quasi-experimental evidence from Argentina during the Baring crisis”,
with Gary Cox, Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 51: 1504-1525, 2018.
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“Political Institutions and Sovereign Borrowing: Evidence from Nineteenth-Century Argentina”,
Public Choice, Vol. 156, No. 1-2: 61-75, 2013.
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“Sovereign Debt and Regime Type: Re-considering the Democratic Advantage”,
with Emily Beaulieu and Gary Cox, International Organization, Vol. 66, No. 4: 709-738, 2012.
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"Coalition Governments and Sovereign Debt Crises"
Economics & Politics, Vol. 21, No.2: 232-254, 2009
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"Do Countries Have a Democratic Advantage?"
Comparative Political Studies, Vol. 38: 366-387, May 2005
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Conflict and Violence

"The Logic of Cronyism in State Violence: Evidence from Labor Repression During Argentina's Last Dictatorship"
with Esteban Klor and Shanker Satyanath, Journal of the European Economic Association, Vo. 19: 1439-1487, 2021.
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“Civil War Exposure and Violence”
with Edward Miguel and Shanker Satyanath, Economics & Politics, Vol. 23, No.1: 59-73, 2011
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(NBER Working Paper # 13968, April 2008)

Suffrage Reform

“Suffrage Extension and Financial Volatility: Reconsidering the Great Reform Act,"
with Gary Cox, Journal of Historical Political Economy, Vol. 2: No. 3, pp 415-447.
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“The Political Economy of Suffrage Reform: The Great Reform Act of 1832,"
with Gary Cox and Adriane Fresh, forthcoming in Journal of Historical Political Economy.
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“Reassessing the Link between Revolutionary Threats and Democratization,"
, unpublished manuscript, 2022.
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“Heterogeneity and Team Performance”
with Keith Ingersoll and Edmund Malesky, Journal of Sports Analytics, Vol. 3, No. 2, 2017
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Political Institutions:

Statutory Policy-Making

“Executive-Legislative Relations”
in Ruben Ruiz Rufino and Jennifer Gandhi (eds.), Routledge Handbook of Comparative Political Institutions. London: Routledge, 2015
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“Law Making”
in Shane Martin, Thomas Saalfeld, and Kaare Strom (eds.). The Oxford Handbook of Legislative Studies. . Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2014.
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Separation of Powers

“Policy differences among parliamentary and presidential systems”
forthcoming in Roger Congleton, Bernie Grofman and Stefan Voigt (eds.). The Oxford Handbook of Public Choice. . Oxford: Oxford University Press.
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“Voting in the Bicameral Congress: Large Majorities as a Signal of Quality”
with Matias Iaryczower and Gabriel Katz, Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, Vol. 29, No.5: 957-991, 2013.
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"Political Prowess or Lady Luck? Evaluating Chief Executives' Legislative Success Rates"
Journal of Politics, Vol 71, No.4: 1-15, 2009
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“Government Coalitions and Legislative Success Under Presidentialism and Parliamentarism”
with Adam Przeworski and Jose Antonio Cheibub
British Journal of Political Science, Vol. 34: 565-587, 2004
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“Federalism, Argentine-Style” with Mariano Tommasi, and Pablo Spiller , in Pablo T. Spiller and Mariano Tommasi.
The Institutional Foundations of Public Policy in Argentina, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007.

"Fiscal Federalism in Argentina: Policies, Politics, and Institutional Reform"with Pablo Sanguinetti and Mariano Tommasi
Economia , Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA), 2001.
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"An 'Incomplete-Contracts' Approcah to Intergovernmental Transfer Systems in Latin America" with Mariano Tommasi
in Burki and Perry (eds.) Decentralization and Accountability of the Public Sector , Washington D.C., The World Bank, 2000.
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"Why is Argentina's Fiscal Federalism so Inefficient? Entering the Labyrinth" with Mariano Tommasi
Journal of Applied Economics , Vol. 2, No. 1, 1999.
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Politics of Latin America:

"Constituency Effects and Legislative Dissent under Closed-List PR;
with Eduardo Aleman, Juan P. Micozzi, and Pablo Pinto, forthcoming in Latin American Politics and Society , 2020.
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"Disentangling the Role of Ideology and Partisanship in Legislative Voting: Evidence from Argentina"
with Eduardo Aleman, Juan P. Micozzi, and Pablo Pinto, Legislative Studies Quarterly, Vol. 43: 245-273, 2018.
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"An empirical stochastic model of Argentina's Impossible Game (1955-1966)"
with Juan P. Micozzi, in Journal of Theoretical Politics, Vol. 28, No. 2, 2016.
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"Using Joint Scaling to Study Ideology and Representation: Evidence from Latin America"
Political Analysis, Vol. 23, No. 3, 2015.
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"Political Realignment and Democratic Breakdown in Argentina, 1916-1930"
with Eduardo Aleman, Party Politics, Vol. 20, No.6: 948-863, 2014.
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"Fraudulent Democracy? An Analysis of Argentina's Infamous Decade using Supervised Machine Learning"
Political Analysis, Vol. 19, No. 4, Autumn 2011.
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"Recovering a Basic Space from Elite Surveys: Evidence from Latin America"
Legislative Studies Quarterly, Vol. 34, No.1, February 2009
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"Legislative Preferences, Political Parties, and Coalition Unity in Chile" with Eduardo Aleman
Comparative Politics, Vol. 39: 253-272, April 2007
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"Amateur Legislators-Professional Politicians : The Consequences of Party-Centered Electoral Rules in a Federal System"
with Mark P. Jones, Pablo Spiller and Mariano Tommasi, American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 46, No. 3: 656-669
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Last edited:  April, 2024