Sebastian M. Saiegh

Teaching

• POLI 134D: Topics in Latin American Politics syllabus (PDF)
• POLI 137: Sports Analytics Approach to the Social Sciences syllabus (PDF)
• POLI 163: Analyzing Politics syllabus (PDF)
• POLI 229: Graduate Comparative Politics - Political Risk and Asset Prices syllabus (PDF)

Research

Books

• Ruling by Statute
  Cambridge University Press, 2010.
• La Nueva Economia Politica
  Eudeba, 1998 (co-edited with Mariano Tommasi).

Political Economy

• Options Markets as Political Forecasts: Insights from the 2024 U.S. Presidential Race

  Unpublished.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Mitigating Policy Uncertainity: What Financial Markets Reveal About Firm-Level Lobbying

  With Kristy Buzard and Nathan Canen; forthcoming in the American Journal of Political Science.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Tax havens and income inequality in host countries

  With Glen Biglaiser, Ibrahim Kocaman, and Ronald McGauvran; forthcoming in Socio-Economic Review.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• The Real-Time Impact of Political Risk on Market Valuations: Evidence from Peru

  With Juan P. Micozzi, Patricio Navia, Pablo Pinto; Journal of Risk and Financial Markets, 2024.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• The Value of Legal Recourse in Sovereign Bond Markets: Evidence from Argentina

  With Glen Biglaiser; Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, 2024.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Fear and Loathing on Wall Street: Electoral Risk Hedging in the United States (1986-2020)

  Journal of Political Economy and Political Institutions, 2023.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Political Shocks and Asset Prices: Evidence from Argentina

  With Daniel Carnahan; PSRM, 2022.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Electoral Uncertainty and Financial Volatility: Evidence from Two-Round Presidential Races in Emerging Markets

  With Daniel Carnahan; Economics & Politics, 2021.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Executive Constraint and Sovereign Debt: Quasi-experimental Evidence from Argentina during the Baring Crisis

  With Gary Cox; Comparative Political Studies, 2018.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Political Institutions and Sovereign Borrowing: Evidence from Nineteenth-Century Argentina

  Public Choice, 2013.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Sovereign Debt and Regime Type: Re-considering the Democratic Advantage

  With Emily Beaulieu and Gary Cox; International Organization, 2012.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Coalition Governments and Sovereign Debt Crises

  Economics & Politics, 2009.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Do Countries Have a Democratic Advantage?

  Comparative Political Studies, 2005.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook

Conflict and Violence

• The Logic of Cronyism in State Violence: Evidence from Labor Repression During Argentina's Last Dictatorship

  With Esteban Klor and Shanker Satyanath; Journal of the European Economic Association, 2021.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Civil War Exposure and Violence

  With Edward Miguel and Shanker Satyanath; Economics & Politics, 2011.

  • Paper and data
  • NBER Working Paper #13968

Suffrage Reform

• Reassessing the Link between Revolutionary Threats and Democratization

  Journal of Historical Political Economy, 2024.

  • Paper (PDF)
  • Appendix (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• The Political Economy of Suffrage Reform: The Great Reform Act of 1832

  With Gary Cox and Adriane Fresh; Journal of Historical Political Economy, 2023.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Suffrage Extension and Financial Volatility: Reconsidering the Great Reform Act

  With Gary Cox; Journal of Historical Political Economy, 2022.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook

Diversity

• Heterogeneity and Team Performance

  With Keith Ingersoll and Edmund Malesky; Journal of Sports Analytics, 2017.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook

Political Institutions

• Executive-Legislative Relations

  In Routledge Handbook, 2015.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
• Law Making

  In Oxford Handbook, 2014.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
• Policy differences among parliamentary and presidential systems

  Forthcoming in Oxford Handbook of Public Choice.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
• Voting in the Bicameral Congress: Large Majorities as a Signal of Quality

  With Matias Iaryczower and Gabriel Katz; Journal of Law, Economics and Organization, 2013.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Political Prowess or Lady Luck? Evaluating Chief Executives' Legislative Success Rates

  Journal of Politics, 2009.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Government Coalitions and Legislative Success Under Presidentialism and Parliamentarism

  With Adam Przeworski and Jose Antonio Cheibub; British Journal of Political Science, 2004.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook

Federalism

• Federalism, Argentine-Style

  With Mariano Tommasi and Pablo Spiller; Cambridge University Press, 2007.

  • Book page
• Fiscal Federalism in Argentina: Policies, Politics, and Institutional Reform

  With Pablo Sanguinetti and Mariano Tommasi; Economia, 2001.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
• An 'Incomplete-Contracts' Approach to Intergovernmental Transfer Systems in Latin America

  With Mariano Tommasi; World Bank, 2000.

  • Abstract and paper
• Why is Argentina's Fiscal Federalism so Inefficient? Entering the Labyrinth

  With Mariano Tommasi; Journal of Applied Economics, 1999.

  • Abstract and paper

Politics of Latin America

• Constituency Effects and Legislative Dissent under Closed-List PR

  With Eduardo Aleman, Juan P. Micozzi, and Pablo Pinto; Latin American Politics and Society, 2020.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Disentangling the Role of Ideology and Partisanship in Legislative Voting: Evidence from Argentina

  With Eduardo Aleman, Juan P. Micozzi, and Pablo Pinto; Legislative Studies Quarterly, 2018.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• An empirical stochastic model of Argentina's Impossible Game (1955-1966)

  With Juan P. Micozzi; Journal of Theoretical Politics, 2016.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Using Joint Scaling to Study Ideology and Representation: Evidence from Latin America

  Political Analysis, 2015.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Political Realignment and Democratic Breakdown in Argentina, 1916-1930

  With Eduardo Aleman; Party Politics, 2014.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Fraudulent Democracy? An Analysis of Argentina's Infamous Decade using Supervised Machine Learning

  Political Analysis, 2011.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Recovering a Basic Space from Elite Surveys: Evidence from Latin America

  Legislative Studies Quarterly, 2009.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Legislative Preferences, Political Parties, and Coalition Unity in Chile

  With Eduardo Aleman; Comparative Politics, 2007.

  • Abstract and paper (PDF)
  • Data and codebook
• Amateur Legislators-Professional Politicians: The Consequences of Party-Centered Electoral Rules in a Federal System

  With Mark P. Jones, Pablo Spiller, and Mariano Tommasi; American Journal of Political Science, 2002.

  • Abstract, paper, and tables (PDF)
  • Data and codebook (ZIP)

Links

• Department of Politics - New York University
• Department of Political Science - University of Pittsburgh